Dreamers vs the Nerds. Who will win out" - football

Dreamers vs the Nerds. Who will win out"



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In a world where nerds rule and dreamers pay their respects, an unlikely hero has emerged.
His name is Unai Emery.
A man who defied the xG gods.
A man who outscored expectations.
A man who racked up points against all odds.
But could it last"
That’s the damn question.
This is the biggest divide in football society since the age debate of 28 or 29. This is bigger than Denilson. This is bigger than ‘what if Eduardo hadn’t.’
This confusing opener to a blog is driven by the reality that Arsenal are playing above their expected points total at the moment, and it’s leading the worlds premier stats nerds to question the viability of our standing right now.

All of that brings up a number of questions that need to be answered. One of them, and the one I am going to give a bit more information on today, is: does Unai Emery have a track record of his teams beating xG" This is the operating narrative of managers like Sean Dyche or Lucien Favre – that they have special tactical things that they do that are not captured in the model. I have been asked if Emery also has this profile.

This is raw passion versus data. But, as I’ve lightly been saying since the start of the season, if you’re honest with yourself, we’ve been a touch pony for most of our games, and it’ll bite us in the backside at some point.
Alternatively, you could be of the school of thought where you think that beatin...
source: le-grove
URL source: http://le-grove.co.uk/

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