BVB?s Floundering Forwards: Rating Borussia Dortmund?s Best Offensive Players
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Analyzing BVB?s offense using multivariate optimization to build a Bundesliga offensive player ratings. Borussia Dortmund are having a tough time this season, and fans have been offered very little relief from the endless disappointment in recent games. Everyone needs something to lift their spirits. So why don?t we analyze BVB?s faltering offense and see how bad things are"
I recently wrote a blog post detailing the process for developing a data-driven approach to offensive player ratings. I used desirability functions to do a multivariate optimization of multiple player metrics, grouped into three components ? goal threat, chance creation, and ball progression ? producing individual scores for each metric and an overall score for the category, all between 1 (the best) and 0 (the worst). I then calculated a weighted combination of the component scores to create an overall offensive rating. I will not spend an entire second article talking about the methodology underpinning these ratings, but if you are interested in learning more, you can find the details here. Instead, I wanted to use this methodology to look at Borussia Dortmund?s offensive ratings. In this article, I will explore FB Ref data for the 2023/24 Bundesliga season, building component player ratings for goal threat, chance creation, and ball progression, and combining these to create overall offensive player ratings. Who are...
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